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18 Nov 2025

EUR/USD Price Forecast: Pair steadies near 1.1600 after retreat from two-week high

EUR/USD holds steady around 1.1600 in Tuesdayโ€™s late Asian session after pulling back from last weekโ€™s two-week high at 1.1656. The pair is struggling to regain momentum as the US Dollar loses traction ahead of Thursdayโ€™s delayed US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, which now dominates market focus.

The US Dollar Index trades slightly lower near 99.45 after a brief recovery driven by fading expectations of a December Fed rate cut. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 bps cut in December has fallen to 43%, down sharply from 62% one week earlier.

In the Eurozone, ECB policymakers continue to signal support for keeping rates unchanged, noting a balance between growth risks and inflation pressures.

Technically, EUR/USD remains pressured below a descending trendline from the September 22 high of 1.1818 and has pulled back toward the 20-day EMA. The 14-day RSI stays within the neutral 40โ€“60 range, signaling consolidation.

Key support rests at the October 9 low of 1.1542, followed by the August low near 1.1400 and June low at 1.1347.
On the upside, a break above 1.1656 could open the door toward 1.1700 and the October 17 high of 1.1728.

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